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Kapital has transitioned to the state (ref. AMA) Political Economix & Rational Expectations

What we have to realize is that ‘capital has transitioned to the state’[1]; through the bail-outs and bail-ins, QE’s & SLS’s, LTRO’s & EFSFs; TARPs & twists; capital has transitioned to the state; it has happened, it is ‘what it is’; de-facto (not de-jure); capital has crossed the great libertarian 'blood brain barrier' and it did it @ a ridiculously low price with the greatest irony of all, no central planning!

A European Monetary Fund/ EU Stabilization Bank / The Eurozone Problem and Proposed Solutions

When asymptotix first developed a European Stabilization Bank proposal, our thinking was just “common sense”, maybe driven a little by some experience not only of capital markets but of Public Sector policy development and specifically of the EU. It is possible that when I myself first wrote “The Lunatix are on the Grass: A new Bretton Woods proposition for Europe” I was thinking in a sort of “Kydland & Prescott[1]” / “Political Economics” [2] way. I was schooled in all that stuff way back when in the Adam Smith School in Glasgow.  That blog led us into the Stabilization Bank (SB) paper; but really we were driven by only one method; Structured Common Sense! And with the blogs we are always in a hurry; “it’s just a blog after all” !?! In fact a lot of this blog post here, I have said before in summer 2010 or summer 2011; it is GroundHog Day  every day in Van Rompuy space! But in blog-land I have no editor!

Lunatix3 EURO AREA SUMMIT STATEMENT 29 June 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS &

 

THE EU STATE / CAPITAL MARKETS INTERFACE

 

version 2.2 4th July 2012

 

POLICY & PROCESS RECOMMENDATION FOR BRUSSELS

 

REFERENCE: Press release / Summary

 

TOWARDS A EUROPEAN STABLISATION BANK

An Essay for the EU summit June Twenty Twelve

 

 

 

 

MEMO TO EU POLICY MAKERS SUMMIT JUNE TWENTY TWELVE

HERE WE GO AGAIN / TIDYING UP ASYMPTOTIC ORPHANED IDEAS / TIME TO LISTEN

 

The Political Economy of LTRO

INTRODUCTION

It's LTRO[1] that I’m talking about this time! LTRO the latest version of “economic life support those” crackpot surgeons in the Central Banks and Treasuries of Europe have come up with. What is the issue with it? As LTRO2 approaches, to on the leap day (29/2/2012) I present a number of theses about LTRO;

1.      LTRO is a workaround for Crowding Out

2.      LTRO is executed via a process called 'Round Tripping' or known as a ‘Carry Trade’

3.      Hedge Funds are intrinsic to the success of LTRO

4.      This makes governments dependent upon Hedge Funds (& not just the banks)

5.      LTRO creates a cash balloon which props up the equity market

6.      LTRO is a high-risk central bank strategy which could deflate at a stroke

7.      Ironically the very Hedge Funds and Asset Managers who are intrinsic to the success of LTRO are already freaked out by the high risk nature of the policy,

Crisis Mis-Management in Brussels! They sure aint doin it by the book!

 

MARKET (RATIONAL) EXPECTATIONS & (MONETARY) ECONOMIC POLICY IN BRUSSELS

 

EU Economic Governance: Lunatix 2

updated for the bank holiday and rentree coincidence August 2011,

porto man

 

 

Lunatix Two: A European Stabilisation Bank & the Dysfunctional European Commission Economic Policy development process

 

 

 

Political Economy: Social Democracy in Europe: The Commission and the European Banking System

wire man

 

version TWO

edited 4th July 2012

 

 

 

 

What the hell is going on with our economy in Europe since whatever that is, it underpins our level of activity; our level of social engagement our socio political locus does it not?

 

One cannot avoid, when living in BXL now and again picking up a history book about Schuman[1] or Delors[2] and the various grand plans which developed to drag "the EU" from the Coal and Steel union huddles in Irish bars, cigar smoke and beef prices; to this monster of power which we have today.

I have been extremely critical of the performance of the EU in the financial crisis here on this website. The crisis facing special units of the EU megalith made some howling mistakes in crisis management.

 

this link probably will not stick ECFIN changes its website so frequently

 

It has become obvious recently that senior EU personnel really do not understand how banking and financial markets function. (reference) The disaster that was the EBA (& its predecessor CEBS) speaks to that clearly!

PAPANDREOU OPEN LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT OF THE EUROGROUP JEAN CLAUDE JUNCKER

 PRIME MINISTER’S PRESS OFFICE / Athens, 11th July 2011

LETTER BY PRIME MINISTER GEORGE A. PAPANDREOU TO THE PRESIDENT OF THE EUROGROUP AND PRIME MINISTER OF LUXEMBOURG JEAN CLAUDE JUNCKER

The Political Economy of Quantitative Easing

asymptotix bataviaWhy a Monetary Stimulus was Insufficient this time around

It's a well worn phrase but a profound idea that no matter how clever or high performance your forecasting system; you never see a turning point in an economic time series until it's behind you.

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