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Liquidity Risk - The Sharp End Issue of the Credit Crunch in 2008

Liquidity Risk is a confused topic (from a supervisory or B2 perspective)

because it has not been clear whether this is a risk type to be treated qualitatively or quantitatively through the development of the Basel II (B2) accords. In the initial months after the first Basel Accords were published most European regulators discussed the challenge of Liquidity Risk in qualitative terms. Latterly however the emphasis has been on the need for regulated financial institutions (FI) to stress test this aspect of Market Risk. This stress testing requirement demands that Liquidity Risk be treated quantitatively, from the perspective of a methodological approach to capturing how the FI’s exposure to this risk may fluctuate under extreme conditions.

The Asymptotix Manifesto for a Solution Blueprint in Risk Management

Our Manifesto for a an IT systems Solution Architecture Blueprint for the Risk Management requirement of today is provided in the following 14 references to asymptotix pages. 

 

asymptotix has the deep domain expertise and experience in the risk analytics and data management requirement and in the technology solutions described above contact us if this manifesto fits with your perspective on your current challenge.

 

A Developing issue in Macro-Econometric Modeling: Stress Testing

There is a developing issue in Macro-Econometric Modeling right now. It has been burning for about a year; we at asymptotix have some practical engagement with it which is reflected in our essay called 'Crowding Out 2'. That essay and its related comments simply document our experience at the client coal-face where we naively found ourselves addressing in a commercial engagement a great intellectual challenge of our time, probably way ahead of the academic curve. At a much more global and higher media oriented level this issue is documented in what is known as the Krugman / Ferguson debate or put more crudely (cf Niall Ferguson) the Keynesians versus the Monetarists (or more strictly the Classicists or Neo-Classicists).

BIS - Joint Forum recommends improvements in risk aggregation models

The report suggests improvements to the current modelling techniques used by complex firms to aggregate risks. It also examines supervisory approaches to firms' use of risk aggregation models, particularly in light of the global financial crisis.

 

Mr Tony D'Aloisio, Chairman of the Joint Forum and Chairman of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, said "This report is essential reading for firms considering ways to make more effective use of risk aggregation methods, and for supervisors wanting to understand firms' use of risk aggregation models to help identify shortcomings in a firm's approach."

Exchange Traded Everything

Asymptotix is today releasing a new paper:  

Risk Management: A Differential Diagnosis.

Papers in April (2009) from the Bank for International Settlements

Basel SBBIn April, the Bank for International Settlements has published three new papers which develop the body of knowledge (the theory forge, as we like to call it) in the topic of Credit Risk analytics, stress testing and Economic Capital quantification. This post will summarise and refer them for you.

 

ERM-II Enterprise Risk Management & Economic Capital

On some key research issues in Enterprise Risk Management related to economic capital and diversification effect at group level

Bernanke proposes Systemic Risk Authority

The US needs an overarching regulatory authority to prevent a repeat of risks building up unchecked across the financial system and exploding into economic crisis, Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday. He said the financial crisis, which had seen huge risks building up in lightly regulated institutions, had revealed the weakness of fragmented regulation.

“We must have a strategy that regulates the financial system as a whole, in a holistic way, not just its individual components,” he said. “In particular, strong and effective regulation and supervision of banking institutions, although necessary for reducing systemic risk, are not sufficient by themselves to achieve this aim.”

Liquidity Risk - The Definitive Methodological Paper - Drehman

 The European Central Bank has this weekend published a working paper which in my view provides the definitve methodological approach to Liquidity Risk analytics for any financial institution.

In my view any consulting firm or software house advising you on Liquidity Risk analytics and NOT referring this paper, is advising you in a "private language"; you should regard this paper as the benchmark against which to qualify and assure yourself that you are being given the right advice. This paper is the methodological blueprint for 'best practice' in Liquidity Risk analysis, just look at the authors and editors; it has had the European "first XI" 'hall of fame' in risk management expertise working on it, reflecting the importance of the issue right now. 

John A Morrison Profile / email John

 

The paper details are as follows;-

 

EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK WORKING PAPER SERIES NO 1024 / MARCH 2009 

FUNDING LIQUIDITY RISK DEFINITION AND MEASUREMENT

by Mathias Drehmann (BIS) and Kleopatra Nikolaou (ECB)

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Are the key legislative pillars such as Basel II & III, UCITS IV and Solvency II forcing you to re-examine how you identify, measure and manage risk and capital?

Asymptotix work closely with our partners to help clients develop a more proactive, systematic and integrated approach to governance and risk management to deliver proper value.

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