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The Bundesbank: ECB massively exceeds its mandate

It's no secret that the Germans are negative to further financial support of the weak euro countries. Germany's current strategy is inaction to the calls of introducing Eurobonds or Germany to leave the Euro. What they dread is the other option - that a weak country would leave the euro and its implications on... Germany.

Stress Tests - A New Modeling Paradigm & a Pragmatic Approach

I have been reviewing the papers from a recent conference;-

The ESRB at 1

SUERF/Deutsche Bundesbank/IMFS Conference

& I think there is a crystallisation of a theme at that conference reflected in one particular presentation which articulates a narrative that we have been developing here on asymptotix in regard to Stress testing over the last 2 or 3 years.

EURIBOR RIGGING: the context & incentive. “lack of understanding is absolutely no excuse”

In December 2008 financial market liquidity (in Europe) disappeared altogether, vanished according to the ECB FSR June 2010 . For monetarists like me this massive disappearance precedes & probably causes the massive GNP collapse of 3 quarters later; visually the 2 collapses have close to identical shapes.

Lunatix3 EURO AREA SUMMIT STATEMENT 29 June 2012

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS &

 

THE EU STATE / CAPITAL MARKETS INTERFACE

 

version 2.2 4th July 2012

 

POLICY & PROCESS RECOMMENDATION FOR BRUSSELS

 

REFERENCE: Press release / Summary

 

TOWARDS A EUROPEAN STABLISATION BANK

LTRO: Criminal Political Behaviour by Merkozy with Van Rompuy as the Marionette

 

Think about it, as LTRO triggers on the leap day TODAY, why is the Central Bank being forced to do this against its will? The European monetary transmission mechanism doesn't have an IMF-Equivalent; so not only is the euro a political mishmash at the concept level its a stool (sic) on two legs at the practical institutional level. 

EU Money supply is at rock bottom, the pump at the 'heart' of European money supply is on life support.

That 'life support' is LTRO from the Central Bank, right? The Central Bank should be independent right? It shouldn't be pumping up the very thing that it is chartered to control, that is perversity by definition right?

The Political Economy of LTRO

INTRODUCTION

It's LTRO[1] that I’m talking about this time! LTRO the latest version of “economic life support those” crackpot surgeons in the Central Banks and Treasuries of Europe have come up with. What is the issue with it? As LTRO2 approaches, to on the leap day (29/2/2012) I present a number of theses about LTRO;

1.      LTRO is a workaround for Crowding Out

2.      LTRO is executed via a process called 'Round Tripping' or known as a ‘Carry Trade’

3.      Hedge Funds are intrinsic to the success of LTRO

4.      This makes governments dependent upon Hedge Funds (& not just the banks)

5.      LTRO creates a cash balloon which props up the equity market

6.      LTRO is a high-risk central bank strategy which could deflate at a stroke

7.      Ironically the very Hedge Funds and Asset Managers who are intrinsic to the success of LTRO are already freaked out by the high risk nature of the policy,

Will Merkel Change Her Tune on Stability Bonds?

Stability bonds. That is the new moniker given by the European Commission to euro bonds as it moves toward presenting its most definitive proposal yet for the debt pooling measure on Wednesday.

Indeed, European Economic and Monetary Affairs Commission Olli Rehn was in Berlin on Tuesday to tout Brussels' three-option studyon how bonds issued jointly by the 17 euro-zone member states could help stem the debt crisis.

Willem Buiter Citigroup: Europe Must Act Now to Avoid a Default

ECB Overnight Deposits 2011 (statistics)

Lenders increased overnight deposits at the European Central Bank to the highest level in more than 16 months.

Banks parked 299 billion euros ($412 billion) with the Frankfurt-based ECB yesterday, up from 288 billion euros on Nov. 4. That’s the most since June 30, 2010, and compares with a year-to-date average of 71 billion euros.

 

 

ECB Overnight Deposits 2011

EUROZONE SUMMIT: METRIC OF SUCCESS

Understanding what a Central Bank is for / The Boundaries of European Financial Institutional Architecture


WHAT IS THE METRIC OF SUCCESS OF THE FINAL EUROZONE SUMMIT CONCLUSIONS ?

 

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